With the 2019 NFL Draft in the books, we are already looking ahead to the 2020 class. Over the coming months, I will be publishing scouting reporting reports on the top prospects at the most important position in sports. Our journey to 2020 begins with Oregon Ducks QB Justin Herbert.
By the numbers
Height: 6-6 Weight: 233lbs
While you won’t confuse Herbert with Josh Allen in terms of arm strength, Herbert has a very strong arm. The Ducks’ QB has the ability to push the ball downfield with little effort and zip the ball into extremely tight windows. He very well may have the best deep ball in this class. Grade: 9/10
Herbert’s completion percentage dropped more than eight points last season. That does not mean that he did not have more than his fair share of “wow” throws. Herbert showcases the ability to throw with accuracy, touch, and great ball placement to all areas of the field. His knack for placing the ball only where his receiver can get to it, really sets him apart from the majority of young passers. Grade: 9/10
When Pressured Herbert routinely displayed the ability sense pressure, evade it, keep his eyes downfield, and deliver a catch-able ball. He routinely steps up into pressure, and goes through each of his progression. However, his reluctance to get rid of the ball can lead him to take unnecessary sacks. Herbert will need to work on getting the ball out quicker at the next level. Grade: 8/10
Herbert has a respectable +46 TD to INT differential but that only tells part of the story. He has a tendency to rely on his arm talent a bit too much, holding the ball too long, instead of throwing with anticipation. This is compounded by his tendency to lock onto his pre-snap read, and miss open receivers. Grade: 7/10
Though not a world class sprinter, Herbert is more than athletic enough to buy time with his legs and even be an effective runner. At 233lbs he also seems to have the frame to stand up to the punishment that comes with running the ball in the NFL. Grade: 8/10
Herbert is known as a strong leader, and film junkie who seems to be adored by teammates. He stayed in school to play with his younger brother, has strong ties to the Oregon area, and is known as someone that is there for new players that arrive on campus. No red flags here. Grade: 9/10
Tangibles Grade (size and production): 9/10
Intangibles Grade: 9/10
Film Grade: 8.2/10
Pro. Comparison: Carson Wentz
Overall Grade: 8.4/10 (Top five pick)
Analysis: Herbert was right to stay in school this year as he has some serious issues going through his reads. I fully expect him to make strides in this area next year and with his unbelievable arm talent he could develop into an elite player at the next level.