Chris Smith Mock Draft 3.0

It’s Christmas….erm..Draft day!!! So its time for me publish my final mock draft. But before I do, here are a few notes on the 2019 NFL Draft class.

  • There are at least five players that I would label as near sure things (9.0/10 or better on my overall draft grade) they are Nick Bosa, Quinnen Williams, ED Oliver, Josh Allen, and Devin White
  • This may be the deepest draft class I have ever scouted (going back to 2006) as there seems to be very little dropoff from pick #20 to Pick #100
  • This QB class isn’t on the same level as last year’s class, but there could be as many as four taken in the top 15, and if New England stays put maybe five in round one.

#1 Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB, OU

This has been the worst kept secret in recent NFL history, Murray is undersized but has Russel Wilson potential and that’s too much to pass in Kliff Kingsbury’s air raid offense.

#2 San Francisco: Nick Bosa, DE, OSU

Despite Rumors of the team passing on Bosa due to some old tweets, the talent here is too good to pass up and the 49ers pick up the number one player on my board at a position of need to boot.

#3 Denver Broncos (Via NYJ): Drew Lock, QB, Missouri

In what on the surface seems like the first surprise of the draft, the Broncos trade multiple picks to move up to select Drew Lock. However this move makes sense on three levels

  1. The Jets are desperate to move back and recoup the picks it lost in last year’s trade up for Sam Darnold
  2. The Broncos are reportedly enamored by Lock and would like to draft him at pick #10
  3. The Oakland Raiders are also rumored to be enamored by Lock, and if the Broncos are to land Lock they may need to jump in front of Oakland

#4 Oakland Raiders: Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky

After trading one of the league’s most prolific pass rushers, the team is left that position as it’s greatest need. Luckily for them, one of the most prolific in college football, due to the yearly quarterback scramble.

#5 Tampa Bay: Devin White, ILB, LSU

Even with a top offense last season, the Buccaneers find themselves with a top five pick. White is a player that is known for making those around him better, and is often compared to Ray Lewis. While I wouldn’t go that far, I do see him as someone that can add multiple wins to the team as soon as next season.

#6 New York Giants: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke

Note: This does not reflect, what I believe they should do, but rather what I am now hearing that will likely do. So hold off on that hate mail Giants Nation

I had to re-write my mock this morning due to new information about this pick. It has been long known that the Giants really like Jones, and it has been speculated that he could be QB1 on their board due to his maturity and his connection to Eli Manning. It was believed that Jones was likely the pick at #17, but it is now believed that Jones could be the team’s priority at #6. I believe this could be due to ownership concerns about the transition from Eli to his successor, and how much easier it could be if that successor is someone is someone similar to him.

#7 Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama

The Jags lost Malik Jackson in the offseason and immediately luck into possibly the draft’s best player at that position. It’s true the Foles magic has already started.

#8 Atlanta Falcons (Via Det): ED Oliver, DT, Houston

The Falcons have been salivating at the opportunity to add Oliver to a defense that underachieved. At pick #8 the team decides to jump the Bills and get their man.

#9 Buffalo Bills: Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State

I know that Buffalo added a ton of O-Line help in Free Agency, but after getting multiple Quarterbacks injured last season, adding the Draft’s best pass protector is too good to pass up.

#10 New York Jets (Via Den): Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida

After trading back, acquiring additional picks for Sam Darnold, the Jets add a player in Sweat that they were at least considering at #3

#11 Cincinnati Bengals: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan

This one is pretty open and shut, the Bengals desperately need playmakers in the run game as well as the pass game on defense. Bush certainly fits the and it should be noted that the dropoff at this position is huge after Bush.

#12 Green Bay Packers: T.J Hockenson, TE, Iowa

Quick! Who is the best Tight End Aaron Rodgers has ever played with? An old Jimmy Graham? That changes this year as Green Bay locks up a true security blanked for Rodgers that will also positively impact the run game.

#13 Miami Dolphins: D.K Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss

Montez Sweat is in play here, so is Brian Burns, but I’m projecting the Dolphins to trade their 2nd round pick and a late round pick for Josh Rosen at the beginning of the draft. That pick forces the ‘Phins to seek out a dynamic playmaker for their new young QB.

#14 Detroit Lions (via ATL): Greedy Williams, CB, LSU

I’m almost certain Williams would be the pick if they stay put at #8, so at #14 it’s a no brainer. The Lions finally have help across from Darius Slay

#15 Washington Redskins: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State

It wouldn’t surprise me if the Redskins trade into the top 10 for Haskins but in this Mock, the Giants and Dolphins picks mean that they don’t have to.

#16 Carolina Panthers: Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State

Brian Burns is in play here and could certainly be the pick, but Sweat’s top 5 athleticism makes him too hard to pass up here. The team walks out of this draft believing that they have found their new Julius Peppers.

#17 New York Giants: Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State

Coming into the Draft Thursday with two goals 1) Draft Eli’s Successor and 2) Add one of the ultra talented pass rushers in this year’s class. Burns could end up as the best of that group, and the steal of this draft at 17.

#18 Minnesota Vikings: Cody Ford, OT, Oklahoma

Last season the Vikings struggled to protect their 84 million dollar investment in Kirk Cousins, or open holes for the electric Dalvin Cook. In most year’s Ford is a top 10/15 pick, the Vikings get a steal at 18.

#19 Tennessee Titans: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama

The Titans need to invest in finding out if Marcus Mariota really is their franchise QB. That means taking top linemen and receivers early, and in this case a player with top 10 value falls right to them.

#20 Pittsburgh Steelers: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington

This pick is extremely likely to be a LB or a CB. The Steelers really like Michigan LB Devin Bush, but they will have to trade up for him whereas the draft’s top corner falls right to them.

#21 Seattle Seahawks: Garrett Bradbury, IOL, NC State

Over the last five or so years the Seahawks top need has been the Offensive line, and now that they have made QB Russell Wilson the highest paid player in NFL History, its time to finally protect that investment.

#22 Baltimore Ravens: N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State

Coming into the year with a second year QB that struggles to deliver the ball accurately and very little talent at the receiver position is a very bad combination. The Ravens make pick a few receivers this year but they start by taking a player with a pretty big catch radius to pair with the young Lamar Jackson.

#23 Houston Texans: Dalton Risner, OT, Kansas State

Like the Seahawks before them, the Texans seem to be always trying to fix offensive line woes. Risner provides the ability to play early at a few different positions to allow the team to hopefully limit Deshaun Watson’s unnecessary hits this season.

#24 Oakland Raiders: Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan

A tear in Gary’s shoulder as well as a lack of production at the college level cause the top 5 talent to fall all the way to #24 where Jon Gruden is happy to see if he can replace Khalil Mack.

#25 Philadelphia Eagles: Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson

The Eagles just resigned Timmy Jernigan today, but that was to keep the team drafting best player available, in this case that is certainly Wilkins and the league’s best D-Line continues to get better.

#26 Indianapolis Colts: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia

The Colts have young playmakers at safety and all over the front seven, and now with Baker the team has a versatile Corner that has had success in both man and zone schemes.

#27 Oakland Raiders: Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama

Beast Mode has left the building and a new lead runner in entering the building in Jacobs. Jacobs is no Lynch as a runner, but he is a capable runner, a willing blocker and a plus receiver.

#28 Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson

You know what would make the league’s best DE tandem of Ingram and Bosa even more deadly? A dominant mountain of a man on the inside to draw double teams and bring relentless pressure inside.

#29 Seattle Seahawks: Noah Fant, TE, Iowa

The Seahawks will take a long look at Jachai Polite here but Fant is a dynamic downfield threat and could become Wilson’s top receiver as a rookie.

#30 Green Bay Packers: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss

Continuing the theme of teams helping their expensive QB’s, the Packers draft the versatile A.J Brown to play inside and outside. Brown may end up the best wide receiver in this class.

#31 New York Jets (Via LAR): Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma

The Jets make a splash play here to take the “Desean Jackson”-like Hollywood Brown. Brown is the perfect big play guy to bring out the best in Sam Darnold after an up and down rookie season for the Jets Passer.

#32 Detroit Lions (Via NE): Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson

The Pats almost always move out of pick 32, Lions Coach Matt Patricia has a great relationship with the Pats, facilitating this move. With the pick, the Lions address the loss of Ziggy Ansah with the younger, cheaper Ferrell

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